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Main Points of the Speech:
- World population and economy will grow more slowly towards 2052
than most people expect - but still fast enough to trigger a climate
crisis.
- Consumption will stagnate because world society will have to spend
ever more on repair and adaptation
- Short-termism will dominate in decision making
Short Summary of the Speech:
There will be continuing
focus on innovation and technological advance in two areas: energy use per
unit of GDP (“energy/GDP”), and climate gas emissions per unit of energy
use (“CO2/energy”) but not fast enough to avoid a temperature rise of 2
degrees Centigrade by 2052.
Biography:
Jorgen Randers (born 1945) is
professor of climate strategy at the Norwegian
Business School, where he works
on climate and energy issues, sustainability, and system dynamics.
Jorgen Randers
is member of corporate boards in Norway and the sustainability
councils of foreign multinationals. He chaired the Norwegian Commission on Low Greenhouse Gas Emissions in
2006.
He was President of the BI Norwegian
Business School 1981 – 89, and Deputy Director General of WWF International (World Wide Fund for Nature) in Switzerland
1994 – 99.
He has written many books and scientific
papers, including “The
Limits to Growth” (1972) – with
others – and “2052 – A
Global Forecast for the
Next Forty Years”
(2012).
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